1/ I think one of the problems with consequentialism is that it presupposes that probabilities of outcomes can be known.
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2/ This simply isn’t true for most ethical choices we make in our lives.
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3/ Most of the ethical choices we make in life are filled with unknown unknowns so trying to calculate consequences is impossible
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This seems like a misunderstanding of consequentialism. It's merely the act of reasoning from ends to means, not deterministic ends.
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Isn’t the act of reasoning from ends to means empty if the ends are unpredictable though? Or am I missing something?
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No, but probabilities are pretty well known there. Works fine there. But what about when the outcomes are unclear?
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In scenarios where there is a wide dispersion of possible outcomes then usually consequentialism seems to be used as a justification
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