26/ Unfortunately those options aren't on table. Nobody credible is working on anything meaningful in any direction besides the 2 big ones
-
-
Replying to @vgr
27/ How do you "play" for Option X? The key is to recognize that neomercantilism has *no* economic legs. It is an oil-economy endgame.
3 replies 0 retweets 10 likes -
Replying to @vgr
28/ Option X super-lever: "in the short run, the market is like a voting machine But in the long run, the market is like a weighing machine"
1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes -
Replying to @vgr
29/ Here "market" broadly includes all forms of "voting/weighing" dynamics. The thing that is structurally immune to bullshit over long term
1 reply 0 retweets 5 likes -
Replying to @vgr
30/ So long as there is economic *continuity*, time is a friend for Option X and an enemy for neomercanitilism
1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes -
Replying to @vgr
31/ To bring it back around to starting point of the riff, points 1/ and 2/, this is not a contest of *national* exceptionalist narratives
1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes -
Replying to @vgr
32/ It isn't Trumpian American exceptionalism to 1950s MAGA state versus Putin-Surkov exceptionalism rewinding to Eastern Roman Empire.
1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes -
Replying to @vgr
33/ It is about global exceptionalism. Those who believe there was something exceptionally good about Westphalian nation-state order...
1 reply 1 retweet 2 likes -
Replying to @vgr
34/ ... versus those who believe there is something exceptional about the post-digital, soft-power based cosmopolitan post-Westphalian order
5 replies 1 retweet 4 likes -
Replying to @vgr
So the choice is between (a) the false memories of world we can never regain, and (b) the utopian dreams of a world we can never reach?
1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
'slouching towards utopia' ...a pragmatic directional commitment to an improving pattern of improvement, not an end-state
-
-
Replying to @vgr
this sounds like return to the Cold War logic of a few strong states acting thru proxy conflicts over various resources?
@nils_gilman1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @tonyjoyce @nils_gilman
not quite, Cold War 2 is genuinely multilateral rather than bipolar
0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
End of conversation
New conversation -
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.