Authoritarian leaders in democracies almost always look to make a big impact in foreign policy as a way to create leverage domestically
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...and confusing trade equilibria. So ~mid 2018, you can expect big, damaging domestic moves. Build political capital abroad, spend at home.
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appreciate the Modi parallel though *if* he sticks to 100 day plan lots of domestic stuff up front: http://www.npr.org/2016/11/09/501451368/here-is-what-donald-trump-wants-to-do-in-his-first-100-days …
End of conversation
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People have systematically underestimated what he’s capable of since his first speech. We shouldn’t assume it’s just saber rattling.
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