Biggest problem with "real" psychohistory real is classification of events as novel-exogenous vs endogenous-subplot-continuation
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2 tautological & useless modeling limits are "everything is endogenous since big bang" and "everything is novel narrative impulse to system"
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. arbitrary guess for repetitions it takes to lock in something as a presumed historical "constant" like "war" or "famine", and no
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