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vgr's profile
Venkatesh Rao
Venkatesh Rao
Venkatesh Rao
@vgr

Tweets

Venkatesh Rao

@vgr

This is my conversational account. For my work follow @ribbonfarm, @breaking_smart, @artofgig. Tweets are 90% vacuous views, apathetically held. Mediocritopian.

Los Angeles, CA
venkateshrao.com
Joined August 2007

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    Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 7 Oct 2016
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    I bet there will be 4 *serious* candidates in 2020, with minimum Ross Perot level of non-trivial support. The 2-party system is crumbling.

    8:21 PM - 7 Oct 2016
    • 3 Retweets
    • 22 Likes
    • Marrrrrrrrrk P Xu Neyerrrrrrrrrrr Lou rpf @micahstubbs hikikomorphism🏳️‍🌈🏝🛰️ ALL CAPS BOSS Tom Mullaly john_c_palmer R_Ganesh
    8 replies 3 retweets 22 likes
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      2. Michael Wiik‏ @mwiik 7 Oct 2016
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        Replying to @vgr

        Perot? icymi https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4v7XXSt9XRM …

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      3. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 7 Oct 2016
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        Replying to @mwiik

        @YouTube he got like 10% didn't he?

        2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Visakan Veerasamy‏ @visakanv Feb 28
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        Replying to @vgr

        boop

        0 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
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      1. john_c_palmer‏ @john_c_palmer 8 Oct 2016
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        Replying to @vgr

        you think Kanye will be one?

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      1. Christopher S. Rice, Ph.D.‏ @refuturing Feb 28
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        Replying to @vgr

        Perot was an odd case. 19% in '92, nowhere near that in '96. His 19% was the largest 3rd party vote share since TR got 25% with the Bull Moose party in 1912. Sanders reliably gets ~25% of the Dems, a much smaller number. A 3rd Party Sanders run looks more like Debs than TR/Perot.

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      1. Chris Clark‏ @chrisclark1729 7 Oct 2016
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        Replying to @vgr

        2-party system will always exist in winner take all politics. Too much incentive for losers to align.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. TheHappyPhilosopher‏ @HapyPhilosopher 7 Oct 2016
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        Replying to @vgr

        I'll take the opposite of that bet.

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      1. Christopher S. Rice, Ph.D.‏ @refuturing Feb 28
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        Replying to @vgr

        The firewall that the 2-party system has built for itself are the ballot rules, state by state. It was hard to get on as many state ballots as Perot did in ’92 (fewer in ’96), and he started as an independent. If Sanders waits until after the convention, his calendar is tight.

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      1. Christopher S. Rice, Ph.D.‏ @refuturing Feb 28
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        So, for structural reasons, a serious third party run is hard (first-past-the-post systems certainly mitigate against it). Not impossible but hard. You might see some regional small third parties as part of a cyclical party realignment phase, but doubtful more than that.

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