Pop org theory is 99% wishful thinking, 1% brilliant prescience. Acad stuff is 90% okay-to-good, 10% great (never brilliant), 100% hindsight
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. I'd hope it's all somewhat based on hindsight. If you're not using the world to build a theory, you're not theorizing about the world.
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true for evolutionary periods, not true of revolutionary periods when a new tech is driving useful speculation on future forms
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Agree, partly - the speculation still needs to be informed by models based on data, extrapolated based on the new models.
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for rev periods 1% seems good est. if the question is - can org theo predict future forms, est would be different for 2


