Are there differential models of NPV as affected by current service instance quality? Formula for how one bad coffee changes my LTV to cafe?
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Replying to @vgr
You should view it as a bayesian value of information question; how much does it change your posterior estimate of value in the future?
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Replying to @davidmanheim @vgr
And no, I don't think that everything is about Bayesian VoI just because that's my dissertation topic. . . . Just most things. :)
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Replying to @davidmanheim
actually I think in this case, it's about narrative rewriting...what *account* customer gives themselves of expanded data
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Replying to @vgr @davidmanheim
you can still apply Bayesian reasoning on the set of narratives in play (this was my postdoc stuff)
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Replying to @vgr
But isn't applying a bayesian model to the narrative (= utility, value) isomorphic to applying it to the data, then calculating utility
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Replying to @davidmanheim @vgr
I'm not sure how to formulate narrative in terms of utility, but however it is done, order shouldn't matter for rational decisionmakers
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Replying to @davidmanheim
measure the compression basically...I laid that out qualitatively in Tempo, but haven't generalized the math from the paper...
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Replying to @vgr
Tempo discusses narrative that can be seen in retrospect. For utility, we look at expectation. The math is messy, but straightforward.
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Not quite. A narrative organizes both past AND future, so it incorporates expectations.
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