The bare facts suggest this as null hypothesis: Trump is a mediocre media manipulator riding a wave that's also lifting Bernie. Not a genius
@ForbiddenMatrix my point is this narrative has been vastly overstated. It's 5% of the explanation at best, not 95%
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@vgr you're right that it's not 95%, but it's not that low either. In the absence of anything truly quantifiable, I'll settle for 50/50. -
@vgr e.g. apparently Trump decided as early as May '14 on a run, hatching a detailed strategy that would blunt Cruz: http://www.politico.com/story/2016/02/trump-steals-cruzs-southern-strategy-219977 … - 3 more replies
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