What are the priors on a nation or empire bouncing back institutionally intact once it puts a populist on top? My history says 'low'
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You mean without collapsing first or losing a major war and starting over? (See: Roman Empire, Germany)
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yes, basically without a new brand taking root
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IMO there is by definition no reasoning behind putting a populist on top, only emotion. Specifically, resentment and spite.
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history, like the media, is biased toward thinking the actions of individual leaders have substantial impact on outcomes
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