Venkatesh Rao@vgr·Mar 18, 2016Trumpic forecasting: what/who else are we not taking seriously/joking about that might get mad enough to do scary things in next decade?7212
Michael@mmay3r·Mar 18, 2016Replying to @vgr@vgr it’s easier to win betting against a low hump than a fat tail. Who are we taking seriously that we shouldn’t be?11
Venkatesh Rao@vgrReplying to @mmay3r@mmay3r that doesn't have interesting consequences. Jeb Bush was a nonentity. No consequences.1:49 AM · Mar 18, 2016
Michael@mmay3r·Mar 18, 2016Replying to @vgr@vgr the “low hump” would be establishment political parties. Hard to call how the system would break, but not that it was fragile.
Michael@mmay3r·Mar 18, 2016Replying to @vgr@vgr fragility of parties was going to be consequential in some sense. ( Ugh, I’m feeling Talebian :) )