A sincere belief in the plausibility of large-scale (n>150, Dunbar's number say) secrecy is the main clueless trait in conspiracy thinking
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I suspect you could discover a constitutive law relating the speed with which a secret is leaked and the number of people who know it at t=0
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Leak time = f(org containment of t=0 knowers, traceability of leaks, severity of consequences for leaking, size of secret, number of orgs)
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