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vgr's profile
Venkatesh Rao
Venkatesh Rao
Venkatesh Rao
@vgr

Tweets

Venkatesh Rao

@vgr

This is my conversational account. For my work follow @ribbonfarm, @breaking_smart, @artofgig. Tweets are 90% vacuous views, apathetically held. Mediocritopian.

Los Angeles, CA
venkateshrao.com
Joined August 2007

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    1. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 28 Oct 2015
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      A sincere belief in the plausibility of large-scale (n>150, Dunbar's number say) secrecy is the main clueless trait in conspiracy thinking

      16 replies 35 retweets 65 likes
      Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 28 Oct 2015
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      I suspect you could discover a constitutive law relating the speed with which a secret is leaked and the number of people who know it at t=0

      10:44 AM - 28 Oct 2015
      • 10 Retweets
      • 21 Likes
      • Armando Biondi Avinesh Bhar, MD MBA james Kieran Taylor Hodge حميد ALL CAPS BOSS Giuliano Giacaglia 💻 ⚡️Andrew So⚡️
      5 replies 10 retweets 21 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 28 Oct 2015
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          Replying to @vgr

          Human fraud/deceit detection evolved I think for accuracy at small hunter-gatherer group sizes, intuitions way off at larger scale

          1 reply 3 retweets 8 likes
        3. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 28 Oct 2015
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          Replying to @vgr

          There is a scale of secret-keeping beyond which it is easier to slow the diffusion by adding noise to leaks rather than trying to contain it

          2 replies 6 retweets 11 likes
        4. 12 more replies
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        2. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 28 Oct 2015
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          Replying to @vgr

          Leak time = f(org containment of t=0 knowers, traceability of leaks, severity of consequences for leaking, size of secret, number of orgs)

          2 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
        3. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 28 Oct 2015
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          Besides deliberate leaks of bits, Shannon info theory also against huge, long-lived secrets like aliens in area 53.

          2 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
        4. 1 more reply
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        2. Jeremy Zilar  🌲‏ @jeremyzilar 28 Oct 2015
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          @vgr You'd also have to factor in the weight of the secret, but yes. It would probably be a hockey stick growth

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 28 Oct 2015
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          Replying to @jeremyzilar

          @jeremyzilar weight = consequences... yeah. D-Day landings location is a good example, though most didn't know till last possible moment.

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        4. 1 more reply
        1. Bob Wakefield‏ @CockleburrSoft 28 Oct 2015
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          @vgr @pmarca “Two can keep a secret, if one is dead.”

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. حميد‏ @youngrumi 28 Oct 2015
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          Replying to @vgr

          @vgr knowledge condensation v.s. knowledge leak 😏

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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