1/ When a system in homeostatic or autopoeitic equilibrium gets destabilized, its effective dimensionality increases.
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2/ This is the main source of uncertainty. Unknown unknowns of the quiescent variety. "Ancient evil awakens" tropes are a motif of this
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3/ Stability for its own sake is a pastoral fetish. Quasi-stability as controlled awakening of ancient evils is technology.
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4/ When a complex system deviates too far from equilibrium, it basically turns into a new system as awakened dynamics overcome known ones
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5/ Fascinating thing about climate change is not the debate around known unknowns, but threshold at which unknown unknowns will take over
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6/ We can anticipate/compute at most to 2nd order effects (say ocean acidification killing bottom of food chain for example).
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7/ The fun begins if problem "gets away" from us and we (full-human "we") are forced into purely reactive mode.
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8/ That means new dynamics will be gaining energy faster than we are managing energies in the old dynamics.
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9/ And nobody will have any idea how long the transient to a new (unknown-unknown) equilibrium will last.
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10/ Where I mean equilibrium in broadest homeostasis/autopoiesis strange attractor sense, not naive game theory/linear systems sense.
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11/ Admission: I personally don't care much at all about survival of species/people getting hurt so long as I and friends/family survive.
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12/ What truly interests me about CC is just that it appears to be the first massive experiment in trying to control a true complex system
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13/ (my pre-blogger/consultant life was in systems and control theory, and this is just a deliciously interesting problem to think about)
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. Part 10c of the problem is that a lot of people *pretend* to care about all 7 billion, when behaviorally, it's clear they don't.
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Though if quality of life is a consideration, personal/family survival requires species survival.


