1/ For better or worse, I'm getting interested in climate change.
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Replying to @vgr
2/ There is small chance the science is (non-maliciously) flawed, but that is irrelevant; beliefs about it are already shaping world events
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Replying to @vgr
3/ Assuming there is a large likelihood that it is true, the big problem is the bias known as "solution aversion" https://today.duke.edu/2014/11/solutionaversion …
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Replying to @vgr
4/ Solution aversion is when you deny the existence of a problem because you don't like the proposed solutions on the table
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Replying to @vgr
5/ Studies show people believe/disbelieve in climate change depending on whether proposed intervention is big government or market responses
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Replying to @vgr
6/ Bracketing that for a moment, the problem has many interesting features, most importantly the scale of response believed to be necessary
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Replying to @vgr
7/ Ironically, the most recent of many historic level-ups in scale of collectively manageable problems has been the modern stock market
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Replying to @vgr
8/ Modern stock market emerged in 19th century because railroads demanded capital mobilization at larger scale than ever attempted before
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Replying to @vgr
9/ When it was invented, it helped *replace* the prevailing nobility/merchant/plebe societal structure with modern left/right structure
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Replying to @vgr
10/ Whatever response emerges for climate change, we can rest assured it will wipe out right/left divide and create a new basic divide
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11/ Climate change has at least 3 unprecedented "scale" dimensions: time constants, global coordination, integrator effects
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Replying to @vgr
12/ Time constants: no institutions, democratic or authoritarian, have planning ability for the horizons in question
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Replying to @vgr
13/ Global coordination: Prev scale limit was the response to the Nazi threat. This is more intricate, and there is no convenient Hitler
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