1/ Historically, though statistics started in gambling, it has been driven by the risk-management motive, not the luck-creation motive
@doriantaylor @simulacrumbs among other things though I don't know how true that is phenomenologically
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@vgr@simulacrumbs it seems to me a lot of fat-tail stuff has to do with real states which are discrete and stochastic.Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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@vgr@simulacrumbs take communicable disesases. the probability is meaningless because catching a disease entails contact with a carrier.Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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@vgr@simulacrumbs i.e. specific conditions have to be met to move the probability above zero.Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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