Skip to content
By using Twitter’s services you agree to our Cookies Use. We and our partners operate globally and use cookies, including for analytics, personalisation, and ads.

This is the legacy version of twitter.com. We will be shutting it down on June 1, 2020. Please switch to a supported browser, or disable the extension which masks your browser. You can see a list of supported browsers in our Help Center.

  • Home Home Home, current page.
  • About

Saved searches

  • Remove
  • In this conversation
    Verified accountProtected Tweets @
Suggested users
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Language: English
    • Bahasa Indonesia
    • Bahasa Melayu
    • Català
    • Čeština
    • Dansk
    • Deutsch
    • English UK
    • Español
    • Filipino
    • Français
    • Hrvatski
    • Italiano
    • Magyar
    • Nederlands
    • Norsk
    • Polski
    • Português
    • Română
    • Slovenčina
    • Suomi
    • Svenska
    • Tiếng Việt
    • Türkçe
    • Ελληνικά
    • Български език
    • Русский
    • Српски
    • Українська мова
    • עִבְרִית
    • العربية
    • فارسی
    • मराठी
    • हिन्दी
    • বাংলা
    • ગુજરાતી
    • தமிழ்
    • ಕನ್ನಡ
    • ภาษาไทย
    • 한국어
    • 日本語
    • 简体中文
    • 繁體中文
  • Have an account? Log in
    Have an account?
    · Forgot password?

    New to Twitter?
    Sign up
vgr's profile
Venkatesh Rao
Venkatesh Rao
Venkatesh Rao
@vgr

Tweets

Venkatesh Rao

@vgr

This is my conversational account. For my work follow @ribbonfarm, @breaking_smart, @artofgig. Tweets are 90% vacuous views, apathetically held. Mediocritopian.

Los Angeles, CA
venkateshrao.com
Joined August 2007

Tweets

  • © 2020 Twitter
  • About
  • Help Center
  • Terms
  • Privacy policy
  • Imprint
  • Cookies
  • Ads info
Dismiss
Previous
Next

Go to a person's profile

Saved searches

  • Remove
  • In this conversation
    Verified accountProtected Tweets @
Suggested users
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @

Promote this Tweet

Block

  • Tweet with a location

    You can add location information to your Tweets, such as your city or precise location, from the web and via third-party applications. You always have the option to delete your Tweet location history. Learn more

    Your lists

    Create a new list


    Under 100 characters, optional

    Privacy

    Copy link to Tweet

    Embed this Tweet

    Embed this Video

    Add this Tweet to your website by copying the code below. Learn more

    Add this video to your website by copying the code below. Learn more

    Hmm, there was a problem reaching the server.

    By embedding Twitter content in your website or app, you are agreeing to the Twitter Developer Agreement and Developer Policy.

    Preview

    Why you're seeing this ad

    Log in to Twitter

    · Forgot password?
    Don't have an account? Sign up »

    Sign up for Twitter

    Not on Twitter? Sign up, tune into the things you care about, and get updates as they happen.

    Sign up
    Have an account? Log in »

    Two-way (sending and receiving) short codes:

    Country Code For customers of
    United States 40404 (any)
    Canada 21212 (any)
    United Kingdom 86444 Vodafone, Orange, 3, O2
    Brazil 40404 Nextel, TIM
    Haiti 40404 Digicel, Voila
    Ireland 51210 Vodafone, O2
    India 53000 Bharti Airtel, Videocon, Reliance
    Indonesia 89887 AXIS, 3, Telkomsel, Indosat, XL Axiata
    Italy 4880804 Wind
    3424486444 Vodafone
    » See SMS short codes for other countries

    Confirmation

     

    Welcome home!

    This timeline is where you’ll spend most of your time, getting instant updates about what matters to you.

    Tweets not working for you?

    Hover over the profile pic and click the Following button to unfollow any account.

    Say a lot with a little

    When you see a Tweet you love, tap the heart — it lets the person who wrote it know you shared the love.

    Spread the word

    The fastest way to share someone else’s Tweet with your followers is with a Retweet. Tap the icon to send it instantly.

    Join the conversation

    Add your thoughts about any Tweet with a Reply. Find a topic you’re passionate about, and jump right in.

    Learn the latest

    Get instant insight into what people are talking about now.

    Get more of what you love

    Follow more accounts to get instant updates about topics you care about.

    Find what's happening

    See the latest conversations about any topic instantly.

    Never miss a Moment

    Catch up instantly on the best stories happening as they unfold.

    1. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 6 Jun 2015
      • Report Tweet
      • Report NetzDG Violation
      Replying to @vgr

      5/ i.e. since markets themselves create no wealth, if you beat history, it's because someone else is beaten by history by betting wrong

      7 replies 2 retweets 2 likes
    2. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 6 Jun 2015
      • Report Tweet
      • Report NetzDG Violation
      Replying to @vgr

      6/ There is another field that has this somewhat dismal/pessimistic risk-oriented flavor: psychology

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    3. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 6 Jun 2015
      • Report Tweet
      • Report NetzDG Violation
      Replying to @vgr

      7/ Throughout much of its history, psychology has been about mental illness and pathologies rather than making good minds better

      1 reply 2 retweets 4 likes
    4. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 6 Jun 2015
      • Report Tweet
      • Report NetzDG Violation
      Replying to @vgr

      8/ When positive psychology came along, many were excited by the promise, but it degeneratd into a bit of a New Age cult.

      1 reply 1 retweet 1 like
    5. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 6 Jun 2015
      • Report Tweet
      • Report NetzDG Violation
      Replying to @vgr

      9/ But the motive was laudable and worthy, and I think positive psychology *is* beginning to shed New Age trappings and deliver good results

      3 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
    6. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 6 Jun 2015
      • Report Tweet
      • Report NetzDG Violation
      Replying to @vgr

      10/ I think lesson can be ported. There is room for a "positive probability theory" and "positive statistics" focusing on luck, not risk

      3 replies 2 retweets 5 likes
    7. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 6 Jun 2015
      • Report Tweet
      • Report NetzDG Violation
      Replying to @vgr

      11/ Taleb made a big contribution towards theory of non-zero-sum luck/serendipity, but domain lock-in limited him to negative black swans

      2 replies 3 retweets 5 likes
    8. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 6 Jun 2015
      • Report Tweet
      • Report NetzDG Violation
      Replying to @vgr

      12/ Where can we look for a true theory of luck? Certainly and obviously, hacking/software in agile/devops sense is a great starter domain

      6 replies 1 retweet 4 likes
    9. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 6 Jun 2015
      • Report Tweet
      • Report NetzDG Violation
      Replying to @vgr

      13/ Fundamental theory/concepts won't change, since it is an axiomatized math field, but shift in emphasis to max-luck over min-risk is big

      4 replies 2 retweets 4 likes
    10. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 6 Jun 2015
      • Report Tweet
      • Report NetzDG Violation
      Replying to @vgr

      14/ So #musklevel challenge to data/stats/probability wonks: invent a rigorous theory of luck/serendipity using hacking as first example

      2 replies 1 retweet 6 likes
      Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 6 Jun 2015
      • Report Tweet
      • Report NetzDG Violation

      15/ I'll offer a $100 reward to a new paper that panel of my mathy friends agree is a credible GUT of luck. Others: add to pot if you like.

      11:40 AM - 6 Jun 2015
      • 2 Likes
      • ALL CAPS BOSS ✪TIS!
      2 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
        1. ✪TIS!‏ @otisfunkmeyer 6 Jun 2015
          • Report Tweet
          • Report NetzDG Violation
          Replying to @vgr

          @vgr ill match that. i like games. itd be cool if we could changetip into an escrow fund multisig blah blah blah.

          0 replies 1 retweet 1 like
          Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo
          Undo
      1. This Tweet is unavailable.

      Loading seems to be taking a while.

      Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.

        Promoted Tweet

        false

        • © 2020 Twitter
        • About
        • Help Center
        • Terms
        • Privacy policy
        • Imprint
        • Cookies
        • Ads info