@vgr Aumann's agreement theorem? http://wiki.lesswrong.com/wiki/Aumann%27s_agreement_theorem …
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@mwiik that theorem only applies to bayesian less wrongians
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@GabrielDuquette@vgr optimistically, that depends on whether those facts add up to a coherent theory or not. -
@GabrielDuquette@vgr a riddle or a job interview puzzle for that category, but so do a series of cards drawn from a shuffled deck. - 2 more replies
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@vgr assuming they freely communicate with each other, they converge, but there is a tipping point where insufficient data = divergence -
@vgr for former, see "wisdom of crowd" performs when "crowd"=experts, vs. solo experts, vs. "crowd"=normals - 1 more reply
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@vgr i vote divergent. dumb i would predict pluralities. smart i predict chaos. that's my hope anywayThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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@vgr assuming not talking to each other, wider variance for smarterThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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