Serendipity/zemblanity has almost completely replaced optimism/pessimism in my mental models. Fairly easy swap-out, dramatic results.
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Interesting. I just read through this; twitter.com/vgr/status/575 and I suspect the same will be true for me. (Is there a newer writeup?)
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A first stab at sketching out my model of serendipity/zemblanity etc. Very crude, but fun direction. slideshare.net/vgururao/zembl
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