Serendipity/zemblanity has almost completely replaced optimism/pessimism in my mental models. Fairly easy swap-out, dramatic results.
@olimay Not quite. Taleb refuses to go all the way to fully embracing serendipity. He applies the idea more narrowly to risk avoidance.
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@vgr Not seeing that, unless you say narrowness has to do with 1. focus on payoff over prob. or 2. preference for apophatic epistemology -
@olimay Basically, there's a slippery slope from antifragility to reactionary thinking and he's kinda half-slipped that way - 4 more replies
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