Serendipity/zemblanity has almost completely replaced optimism/pessimism in my mental models. Fairly easy swap-out, dramatic results.
Conversation
Replying to
then there is Bahramdipity- suppression of serendipitous discoveries/research results by powerful individuals en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Serendipi
1
Replying to
Yup, familiar with that. Not as fundamental though. S/Z is basic/elemental
1
1
Show replies
Replying to
Sounds same as, in Taleb's terms, an antifragility/Procrustean bed fragility dichotomy
1
Replying to
Not quite. Taleb refuses to go all the way to fully embracing serendipity. He applies the idea more narrowly to risk avoidance.
1
Show replies
Replying to
Interesting. I just read through this; twitter.com/vgr/status/575 and I suspect the same will be true for me. (Is there a newer writeup?)
Quote Tweet
A first stab at sketching out my model of serendipity/zemblanity etc. Very crude, but fun direction. slideshare.net/vgururao/zembl
1
Replying to
Does digital reality allow serendipity, or does it give us too much control?
1





