I almost tweeted this last night, but @sama putting AI on a list of failed predictions seems not-even-wrong to me. http://blog.samaltman.com/technology-predictions …
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The right list on which to put "Scary AI" is a list of failed apocalyptic doomsday cult predictions, not failed tech predictions.
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@vgr Read part of Greer's "Apocalypse Not" the other day: good catalog of that type of error, w/ continuity medieval to 2012. - 3 more replies
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@vgr well said.Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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@vgr Lots of ways to cash out "superhuman AI is impossible" to real predictions, e.g. rate of science/tech research performed by future AIs. -
@vgr The real problem with Altman's list is predictions have sometimes been too optimistic and sometimes been too pessimistic. - 1 more reply
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