I almost tweeted this last night, but putting AI on a list of failed predictions seems not-even-wrong to me. blog.samaltman.com/technology-pre
Conversation
Replying to
When people said things like "heaver than air flight is impossible" that was negation of a well-posed, falsifiable proposition.
2
3
Replying to
So treating anti-Scary-AI positions as equivalent to denying heavier-than-air flight is a category error. You can't negate an ill-posed idea
Replying to
The right list on which to put "Scary AI" is a list of failed apocalyptic doomsday cult predictions, not failed tech predictions.
3
3
9
Show replies
Replying to
Lots of ways to cash out "superhuman AI is impossible" to real predictions, e.g. rate of science/tech research performed by future AIs.
1


