I almost tweeted this last night, but putting AI on a list of failed predictions seems not-even-wrong to me. blog.samaltman.com/technology-pre
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When people said things like "heaver than air flight is impossible" that was negation of a well-posed, falsifiable proposition.
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I have yet to see a definition of "Scary AI" that is as clear as "heavier than air flight" or "5 computers."
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Nuke fears were specific and possible to draw boundaries around, separate cleanly from energy use. Not the case here.
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The big danger here is that ill-conceived regulation will stymie the equivalent of nuclear energy for power generation uses.
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My point is, the diff between pragmatic risk concerns and religious apocalyptic fears is precisely the specificity of threat
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