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vgr's profile
Venkatesh Rao
Venkatesh Rao
Venkatesh Rao
@vgr

Tweets

Venkatesh Rao

@vgr

This is my conversational account. For my work follow @ribbonfarm, @breaking_smart, @artofgig. Tweets are 90% vacuous views, apathetically held. Mediocritopian.

Los Angeles, CA
venkateshrao.com
Joined August 2007

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    1. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 1 Sep 2014
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      5/ Real issue: our brains are completion engines. We are wired to complete incomplete pictures. We're addicted to such completion.

      2 replies 4 retweets 5 likes
    2. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 1 Sep 2014
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      6/ But IO represents a condition of *overdetermined* realities. You are seeing data that represent 200% rather than 20% coverage of facts.

      1 reply 1 retweet 0 likes
    3. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 1 Sep 2014
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      7/ For example, in this tweetstream, item 4 is missing (incompletion), and there are 2 item 5s (overdetermination) *pats self for nice save*

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
    4. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 1 Sep 2014
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      8/ Those who are strong at being data-driven are actually hit hardest, since they find many *more* clever ways to overfit data.

      2 replies 1 retweet 2 likes
    5. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 1 Sep 2014
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      9/ Overfitting overdetermined reality = compounded noise = IO = Sense of mounting chaos. Anxiety provoking to all, paralyzing to data-driven

      1 reply 1 retweet 1 like
    6. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 1 Sep 2014
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      10/ The obvious alternative is narrative filtering (see recent Uber valution kerfuffle for example). This is vulnerable to confirmation bias

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    7. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 1 Sep 2014
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      11/ You mitigate confirmation bias through analytical rigor. When this is hard you get analysis paralysis.

      1 reply 1 retweet 2 likes
    8. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 1 Sep 2014
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      12/ Us narrative/analytic types have long history of dealing with confirmation bias and analysis paralysis to learn from.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    9. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 1 Sep 2014
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      13/ Data-driven types otoh have only about 20 years of history dealing with overdetermination/overfitting problem and data paralysis.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    10. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 1 Sep 2014
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      14/ So... IO can be defined as being caught between rock and hard place: analysis paralysis and data paralysis.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 1 Sep 2014
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      15/ When you're not paralyzed, you're in an stressful arms race between outbound narrative filtering and inbound data filtering.

      12:16 PM - 1 Sep 2014
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      • Igor Carron Nicholas Frota
      1 reply 2 retweets 2 likes
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        2. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 1 Sep 2014
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          16/ So IO subjectively feels like manic depression: caught between paralysis and snowballing crazymaking, orbitting around 'sensemaking'

          2 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
        3. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 1 Sep 2014
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          17/ What to do about it? I don't know. Beware easy answers like "relevance" or "just do something."

          2 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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