Finally a result. I do hope this puts Trump firmly in the past.
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Replying to
i always find blue state fear/uncertainty around red state candidate fortunes amusing for some reason; like yeah man trump’s *not* coming back, he lost texas afaict
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Replying to @niftynei
I think your confidence is misplaced. Until DeSantis showed off his power and Oz lost senate, I’d say trump was still the lead guy for 2024. Local state stuff is weirdly decoupled in some ways.
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Replying to @niftynei
Yes. And results haven’t confirmed it yet. DeSantis could still stumble etc.
You’re doing the SBF type supreme confidence shtick 🤨
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that’s a pretty low way to devalue a cassandra intuition imo
seems like SBF’s schtick involved a lot of telling lies; in this case im just continually unsurprised about a political situation 🗳
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Replying to @niftynei
I don’t think anyone has been able to credibly make super confident political predictions for years now
I mean SBF in the sense of putting everything on high subjective utility single scenarios rather than forecast spread, sorry. Didn’t mean to imply lies/fraud.

