Conversation

Replying to @niftynei
I think your confidence is misplaced. Until DeSantis showed off his power and Oz lost senate, I’d say trump was still the lead guy for 2024. Local state stuff is weirdly decoupled in some ways.
2
1
Replying to and @niftynei
I think your mistake is thinking trump is a red state phenomenon. He’s not really, that’s why he managed to surprise *both* red and blue state trad politicians in 2016. Until almost the last minute of the GOP primaries, the red state establishment, Fox, nobody took him seriously.
Show replies
Replying to
red state hinterland support was a core voter group for him in texas; career pols being surprised was more them having to stop indulging some wishful thinking about their own popularity imo