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Replying to @niftynei
I think your confidence is misplaced. Until DeSantis showed off his power and Oz lost senate, I’d say trump was still the lead guy for 2024. Local state stuff is weirdly decoupled in some ways.
Replying to and @niftynei
I think your mistake is thinking trump is a red state phenomenon. He’s not really, that’s why he managed to surprise *both* red and blue state trad politicians in 2016. Until almost the last minute of the GOP primaries, the red state establishment, Fox, nobody took him seriously.
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Replying to @niftynei
Yes. And results haven’t confirmed it yet. DeSantis could still stumble etc. You’re doing the SBF type supreme confidence shtick 🤨
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