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Jeez. This is the vaguest set of nonspecific sentiment-pumping predictions ever. Depending on how you interpret them, all 3 could be considered already done, impossible, or anything in between. 🙄
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Fixing Twitter may be as hard a job as converting Teslas into robotaxis and proving the viability of a monster rocket capable of taking humanity to Mars. But within three years from today, I predict he will have accomplished all three.
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Wholly disagree: Only “Fixing Twitter” is undefinable. Tesla robotaxis and a man on Mars are easy to define, which is one of the reasons that Musk’s talents are not working here: there is no clear win state.
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He didn’t say man on mars. He said “viability of a monster rocket capable….” which could mean anything from an engine test to a first orbit launch of starship that doesn’t hit $10/kg He didn’t say FSD L5 robotaxis in Calcutta traffic. Easy environment robotaxis already exist.
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There are different levels of winning but nobody will argue on the direction of progress. Robotaxis in 100 cities is a clear win, 1000 cities is a bigger win. But for Twitter, people will not agree on which of two Twitters is “better.”
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Would you say that in, say, 1904, “the viability of a monster airplane capable of taking passengers across the world” was undefinable?