Has anyone written about how modern nukes are a weapon of the weak (state)? The first and only use was an exceptional strong vs weak use. Now the biggest risk is weak and fragile states throwing a last big punch on the way down.
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I was mildly concerned during the Kargil War, but I don’t think Pakistan was fragile enough at the time to contemplate use. It was just border adventurism. Russia today feels a lot more desperate.
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It’s not a life and death situation for Russia. A strong gauntlet to the face at most.
Where do you see fragility?
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It kinda is, based on some reports I read. Fake numbers and manipulated monetary picture covering increasingly desperate situation.
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To be precise, it’s life or death for Putin crowd. Rest can get back to good shape easily if they can dislodge him.
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A coup attempt and I’ll believe it.
I think he’ll annexe some small piece. And declare victory and consolidate.
He’s not past that point yet.

