Has anyone written about how modern nukes are a weapon of the weak (state)? The first and only use was an exceptional strong vs weak use. Now the biggest risk is weak and fragile states throwing a last big punch on the way down.
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I was mildly concerned during the Kargil War, but I don’t think Pakistan was fragile enough at the time to contemplate use. It was just border adventurism. Russia today feels a lot more desperate.
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It’s not a life and death situation for Russia. A strong gauntlet to the face at most.
Where do you see fragility?
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It kinda is, based on some reports I read. Fake numbers and manipulated monetary picture covering increasingly desperate situation.
To be precise, it’s life or death for Putin crowd. Rest can get back to good shape easily if they can dislodge him.
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A coup attempt and I’ll believe it.
I think he’ll annexe some small piece. And declare victory and consolidate.
He’s not past that point yet.

