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This is gibberish based on a graph of trends in crowdsourced predictions. It's an *opinion poll*, not even something vaguely meaningful like sizes of models measured in parameter terms or amount of training data. Like saying "estimated time to the Rapture has fallen 70%""
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you are distracted by noise over the past 2 months, the estimated time to Artificial General Intelligence has fallen by between 60 and 70% (find me a chart that is more macro-economically meaningful than this one; I’ll wait)
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OTOH, I can say with confidence that over the past 2 months the time to AGI has fallen by 2 months. Well, assuming AGI doesn't involve some weird near lightspeed frames....
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Well, I'll mildly disagree with part 2 of that: I find chatting with serious AI people about AGI very interesting. I get the superficial similarity of some theorizing to the Book of Revelation (or whatever), but there's serious underlying issues people are grappling with.
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you don't think the creation of a computer program with (>=)the capacities of a human being would have transformative effect on the world? to me it seems obvious it would, on par (at least) with contact with intelligent aliens