Poll: How long will the crash last (ie time to recover to pre-crash highs, inflation adjusted)
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Are pre-crash HIGHS really a worthy baseline though? Maybe in a world with no asset bubbles.
Of course I believe we'll rally back, but a return to 52-week highs constitutes more than "recovering" from a crash imo
twitter.com/theshteves/sta
normal™ by 2023Q1
highs by 2023Q4
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Prediction:
2022 Q2 & Q3 will mark U.S. recession
...but oh boy Q4
I feel obligated to tweet this
since predictions rarely hold
Recession is already priced in


