Conversation

Just had a thought. The Western strategy of publishing credible intelligence leading up to the war, sharply limiting Russia’s ability to manage the narrative, is genuinely new, and would not have been possible in a pre-internet era. It also limits disinformation.
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This is a sort of auditable, blockchainy war. It’s not just managed limited leaks plus grainy feature-phone photos fueling random FUD. Compared to the #iranelection or Arab spring era or even Syria or Afghanistan, this feels like near-perfect information. Lots of receipts.
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In the future, you could imagine freelance mercenaries NFTing tank serial numbers or something to raise funds. Digital scalping.
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Social media is a “proof of believability” generation space as a free-fall-all fuses multiple data sources to produce a rough consensus public-square narrative. Pre-internet you could have published, but not triggered proof-of-credibility discourses.
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I think in modern media environments the side with more overwhelming data saturation basically wins. You don’t have to share all you know but you should be the source of a decisive fraction of the raw data the discourse is reacting to
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For anyone who, like me, wasn't familiar with "VUCA": "Volatility, uncertainty, complexity, and ambiguity" (Also "FUD" = "fear, uncertainty, doubt" if you haven't encountered that one before)