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CNN guy confidently asserting that if NATO wanted to, it could easily establish air supremacy and enforce a no-fly zone 🤔 I don’t think it’s that easy here, plus there’s nukes in the picture, and the no-fly based “small wars” approach of Bosnia seems miscalibrated here.
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There’s a thesis that’s never been tested at work here — that post-Soviet Russia is an asymmetrically weaker opponent, especially in the higher-tech theaters, not an equally matched one. It might very well be true.
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Despite the Russian rhetoric of a weak, comfort-loving west (a tediously old authoritarian line about democracies that’s repeatedly proved false), the west has been continuously waging high-tech foreign wars since the fall of the Soviet Union in a way Russia hasn’t been.
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Ah a thread about it
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There's a powerful lobby pushing for a "no-fly zone" over Ukraine. If Biden listens to them, he will start a shooting war with Russia. This is not a drill. It's the closest we've been to World War 3 since the Cuban Missile Crisis. 🧵
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I think the thing to keep in mind is that since WW2, nukes haven’t been a weapon of the strong, but of the weak. It’s the weaker party that has the strongest temptation to deploy nukes.
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