Conversation

I think this will be a quick, limited war, that will stop with some sort of precarious liminal status for the eastern regions… BUT, like Covid, it will trigger a pattern of frequent limited-war “waves” that last a decade or two. Not a continuous long slog like WW1/WW2.
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A precedent is possibly being set here for a non-Vietnam/non-Afghanistan type war. I can’t imagine they haven’t made non-quagmire plans. There’s talk of reassembling the Soviet empire but the basis fir such a grand plan seems weak. A series of opportunistic limited wars, yeah…
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Another reason this feels weird is that this is not only 2 relatively developed largish countries, but both are white, European countries. White-on-white hot wars have been mostly small-scale civil war type deals since WW2 seems like.
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