Incredibly unfair thread IMO. Not only has Leonhardt been about as good as one could reasonably be in this mess, but he's been very frank about his mistakes and things that directly contradicted his stated expectations. And how many of those 2200 a day are vaccinated or boosted?
There’s no point exhibiting an admirable openness to admitting being wrong on detail after detail if you never reconsider that your underlying paradigm might be wrong and consistently misleading you
The degree of mistake compared to the best alternatives is really drastically overstated by that thread, but I'm not about to dig through the Leonhardt archive to make that case so your call where you land on it I suppose haha
From February to May of last year that was a pretty defensible position IMO. Then I think the later clips in that thread are a bit misleading, he was really just talking about particular dips in particular waves. He always caveated about the unpredictability and such.
And I think the larger point is pretty provably correct. Vaccinated and especially boosted people really do not need to be as careful as they were pre-vaccine.