We should start thinking in terms of a half-life of facts on the front-end too, not just backend. Time it takes for a conjecture to double in certainty on the way to peak believability before it begins decline.
Quote Tweet
Replying to @David_o_Bedlam
I remember thinking the evidence for this was pretty strong early in the pandemic but it was fairly circumstantial.
I would assume this has been tested somewhat rigorously at this point but have not seen anything

