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Is there a futurism methodology like this: 1. Project who might inherit the future (based on reproduction rates) 2. Extrapolate structure based on social/geographic mobility 3. Predict conflicts based on resulting stresses 4. Add in forcing functions (climate change, zombies)
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It feels weird that we typically start with what might happen rather than what sorts of people will be around to respond to it
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🤔 interesting that “religious mobility” is not a thing. Conversions among religions and to/from non-affiliation are far weaker than either social or geographic mobility
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Replying to @vgr
@PewReligion does great work that helps with the first part, like this truly incredible, rigorous and counter-intuitive report on the future demography of religion: pewforum.org/2015/04/02/rel