This is partly why I tend to actively work on the quietest active fronts, and stay largely passively invested on the more frenzied ones. Right now the quietest active front is robotics. Thereās a ton of interesting things happening but fortunately no crazed true believer crowd.
Conversation
In a way robotics doesnāt belong in this cohort. Itās the equivalent of mobile for web1/2. Once web3, metaverse, and AI get to a point of development, the iPhone of robots will become possible. In the meantime, enjoy Boston dynamics dancing robots and early IoT/internet-of-shit.
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The cost and performance on batteries, motors, sensors (esp vision), hydraulics is almost there. Whatās missing is robot-social-media (web3), better brains (low-cost ML hardware), and environment (metaverse⦠robots will live in suitable VR+AR simultaneously)
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Btw I think āmetaverseā is here to stay, much as kids might ridicule it as boomerverse. The terminology of AR/VR/XR/MR was floundering because the device level is the wrong level for visioning. Metaverse is āsmartphoneā grade cringe, not āinfo superhighwayā grade cringe.
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I suspect it will come together in the way streaming did, not as a frontier but in a way where incumbents ally with high-value back-catalog owners to create properties. Linden labs approach relied too much on created content. Extending movie and gaming universes will be easier.
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I think the equivalent of website will be ārideā
As in the initial metaverse will look like an Internet of digitized theme parks. twitter.com/hondanhon/stat
This Tweet is unavailable.
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I think metaverse narrowly viewed as a Facebook idea is vaporware, likely with some cynical calculations attached, but industry wide (include Microsoft, Nvidia, Disney, gaming studios) thereās a there there. Iād point to PokĆ©mon Go as the genesis event.
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The biggest difference between this tech wave and the last few is the radically darker societal context. On a scale of -10 to 10 of broader pessimism to optimism:
PC: 4
Web: 8
Mobile+cloud: 6
Web3+AI+Metaverse: -4
Covid+climate+culture war+inequality = nasty global environment
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Itās the āinto darknessā tech wave. A dark age tech wave. Part grimdark part hopepunk.
Pity ādark techā already has a different conflicting meaning.
Need a good name thatās not ā4th industrial revolutionā or āsecond digital revolutionā
Gaiatech? Cavetech? Doomtech? Hopetech?
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Replying to
Luddite-Tech
Whiplash-Tech
Blowback-Tech
Nego-Tech
Hell-Tech
Yellow-Springs Tech
Cave-Tech
Gloom-Tech
Limbo-Tech
Ebola-Tech
Sanguin-Tech
Vacuumed Tech
Empty-Tech
Void-Tech
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Soulless-Tech
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End-Tech
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