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I'm putting "economic" in scare quotes because I don't mean it in the same sense market fundamentalists do. It's broadly the subset of attributes that determines how you fit into the world.
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One of the "tells" that this pattern is going on is that people who believe in it assume promoting more child-bearing is the solution, studiously ignoring that kids grow up to be their own people, making their own life choices unless actively restrained by trad geronto-autocracy.
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Once I made up a near-future sci-fi story based on the sudden, mysterious disappearance of the Indian subcontinent via a rogue micro-blackhole, just to poke at the conceit that a well-posed history of humanity requires you to be represented in it. It wasn't easy to think through
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I also tried thinking through the same thought experiment, but using the disappearance of all white-majority parts of the word and that was vastly harder, because the West is so much more central to the past millennium of history than India.
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But for better or worse this conversation is likely to dominate the next decade of US politics, once the "vacation" from the culture wars that is the pandemic fades away.
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For anyone interested/invested in this conversation from any direction, I strongly recommend looking into the history of such cases where white people were NOT involved. Recognizing the universality of this shitshow pattern is kinda liberating and creativity-catalyzing.
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For guilt-ridden whites -- don't worry you didn't invent a new pattern of moral failing. For minorities -- your "people" have probably done the same/worse when they were the majority. For believers in "white replacement theory" -- relax, not humanity's first rodeo of this sort.
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Long term, if you triangulate from falling birth rates with development, rising anti-natalism, and the fact that in an open society kids will grow up in unpredictable ways, there is actually no policy model that can guarantee all 3 of identity purity, high fertility, development
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Pick 2 of 3: Purity + high fertility = under-development High development + high fertility = unbridled "impurity" High development + high purity = low fertility
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Replying to
I don't generally comment on racially charged topics, since Asians share in the white privilege of being able to sit out the uncomfortable conversation with basically zero consequences, which I usually exercise. But this feels kinda important.
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