I sort of agree with this, but one can flip the question on its head. "Black swan" events are those such that the tools of probability and statistics just don't work well. But why should we expect the universe to be well-described by probability and statistics?
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Theories of rare and extreme events are really inadequate. Neither extreme statistical bounding (9-sigma, 12-sigma…), nor catch-all categories like “black swan” or “long-tail events” really get you anywhere helpful.
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