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I wrote this thread in January when we were just 👀 alpha. People love doomsday scenarios… this is one of my most QTed threads. But a bunch of people then complained I was being too alarmist even for a subjective <10% worst case speculation.
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Scenario Z: Covid is never brought under control, mutates too much every season to be managed like the flu, and goes endemic with higher base fatality rate and is too costly to chase with vaccines. Joins the top-3 ranks of steady modern killers alongside heart disease and cancer.
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