Poll: If you took a 10k business risk today, what would be the minimum return multiple in 5 years to make it interesting for you?
Assume modest, near-passive maintenance work not much higher than managing a stock purchase at that level
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2x is 14% CAGR, 10x is 58%.
These are value numbers that say nothing about liquidity. 10k may turn into 100k, but in the form of 30k realized dividend and 70k NPV-DCF for eg
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For benchmarking the S&P has had a 13.67 CAGR over the last 10 years
Or about 2x every 5y for the last decade. I personally think business risks should model out to at least S&P under conservative assumptions.
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US stock market has been at 2x in 5y over last decade so you should at least aim to beat that with personal business risk.
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$ return not nearly as important/significant as other forms of return, eg friends/network/reach/PR etc. happy to metaphorically torch $10k on fire to increase baseline luck
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