Hypothesis: The trust level a team can sustain is almost entirely a function of recent win/loss record. The sweet spot is strongly win-biased but clearly short of 100%.
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You have to win enough that you appreciate your team-mates, but not so much you think can go solo and take the winning habit with you somewhere you can be king.
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Corollary: if you want to sustain trust for a long time you have to keep ratcheting up the ambition enough to keep win record bounded away from 100%, but not so much it exits the sweet spot at the other end..
Trust for teams is basically like flow for individuals.
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Individual defections from too much or too little success is the equivalent of focus dissipating for a single mind. Many strands are coherently focused during flow on the same thing. When you lose flow, some strands “defect.” Your eyes wander or zone out, you fidget or doodle…
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Related, the longest-lived trusted teams are probably at a sweet spot of size as well: small enough for each person to have a relatively irreplaceable role, big enough to do ambitious things. I think 8-12, the crucible range. 2 pizza teams.
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Probably ~ 2/3rds win/loss rate needed for sweet spot.
Can't remember where, but I read once that you have to let others win 1/3rd of the time or they'll get pissed.
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