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I think the sweet spot is 50 million to 80 million. Big enough to be a regional power and semi-relevant globally, having domestic scale, but small enough to avoid being a meta-civilization/empire unto itself. The UK, Germany, France, South Africa, Turkey, South Korea all here.
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Anything over that scale is either chronically dysfunctional and needs worlds of growth and endless effort to rise above soul crushing poverty and internal schisms(Nigeria, Indonesia, Pakistan, Ethiopia, Bangladash), is stuck in an endless middle trap(Egypt, Brazil) or /2
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