A question I like to ask is: if nobody does anything differently in a short-term-stable situation, who gets stronger and who gets weaker over the long-term? Ie who benefits or loses from the status quo persisting? Good question to ask about the US right now.
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The US feels like there’s a lot of energy in fault-lines about to slip, so time-advantaged trends may suddenly accelerate with a jerk, via tipping point-effects. This seems more likely than any coherent attempts at changing equilibriums succeeding anywhere.
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