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vgr's profile
Venkatesh Rao
Venkatesh Rao
Venkatesh Rao
@vgr

Tweets

Venkatesh Rao

@vgr

Conversational account. For work follow @ribbonfarm, @breaking_smart, @artofgig. Tweets are 90% vacuous views, apathetically held. Mediocritopian. IKEA builder.

Los Angeles, CA
venkateshrao.com
Joined August 2007

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    1. mikeelias.com  💡 📈‏ @harmonylion1 Jan 4
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      mikeelias.com  💡 📈 Retweeted Venkatesh Rao

      Axe-grinder here, hi It’s not that crackpots are “almost always” right But on “almost every” topic, *some* crackpot is right-er than institutions Crackpot truth high watermark always higher+faster than inst For best results, survey crackpots for best, not institutions for avghttps://twitter.com/vgr/status/1346324137409581057 …

      mikeelias.com  💡 📈 added,

      Venkatesh Rao @vgr
      The conclusion to draw from 4 years of post-truth is that the crackpots are occasionally right, people with axes to grind overstate the ‘occasionally’ into ‘almost always’ and people who insist too hard that experts should suffer no loss of trust are likely habitual Noble Liars
      Show this thread
      3 replies 2 retweets 80 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Jan 4
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      Replying to @harmonylion1

      This is a fairly weak claim. About as strong as the law of large numbers. Like how somebody will guess the lottery numbers right. If you can’t a priori identify the one right-er crackpot, you’re basically saying nothing.

      2 replies 0 retweets 5 likes
    3. Putanumonit Jacob‏ @yashkaf Jan 5
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      Replying to @vgr @harmonylion1

      Putanumonit Jacob Retweeted Putanumonit Jacob

      The skill of identified the right crackpot is real and can be practiced: * Look at the actual numbers * Consider incentives of info sources * See who makes bets, has skin in the game * Have friends whose epistemology you trust * Read LessWronghttps://twitter.com/yashkaf/status/1336032400174964736 …

      Putanumonit Jacob added,

      Putanumonit Jacob @yashkaf
      I should probably explain what I mean when I say things like "rationalists and some internet forums were right on COVID when experts were wrong". I don't mean that rationality makes you better at epidemiology that epidemiologists. https://twitter.com/vidur_kapur/status/1245641609602985986 …
      Show this thread
      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
    4. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Jan 5
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      Replying to @yashkaf @harmonylion1

      Damn you guys never stop with the proselytizing 😂

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
    5. Putanumonit Jacob‏ @yashkaf Jan 5
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      Replying to @vgr @harmonylion1

      Sorry, was just going through Mike's TL (we've never interacted before) and you got caught in a drive-by rat-posting.

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr Jan 5
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      Replying to @yashkaf @harmonylion1

      You two should get along great... check out his recent 3-parter on ribbonfarm

      10:13 PM - 5 Jan 2021
      • 1 Like
      • Putanumonit Jacob
      0 replies 0 retweets 1 like

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