I’ll expect a small market crash in Q1. With senate control, and possible confirmations for Bernie-left people in key the red-scare bears will be out in force.
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Yea, selling unhedged puts or something can be risky, but calls can only go to zero - though of course you don't do it to preserve principle.
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I've been a big fan of prediction markets. Seems like there's enough inefficiency to still make them easily profitable. I keep finding like +10-15% short-term bets and winning all of them (beyond stat. significance)
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I've heard that Trumpists are to blame because they're playing with the heart not their brain, and their hearts are in Cult 45.
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It won't last, but interesting. I hope that Augur or something gets huge so we can predict more interesting things. I think PredictIt should have PredictIt uptime futures. It would've helped signal their previous election night outage.

