I’ll expect a small market crash in Q1. With senate control, and possible confirmations for Bernie-left people in key the red-scare bears will be out in force.
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Yea, selling unhedged puts or something can be risky, but calls can only go to zero - though of course you don't do it to preserve principle.
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I've been a big fan of prediction markets. Seems like there's enough inefficiency to still make them easily profitable. I keep finding like +10-15% short-term bets and winning all of them (beyond stat. significance)
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