Axe-grinder here, hi It’s not that crackpots are “almost always” right But on “almost every” topic, *some* crackpot is right-er than institutions Crackpot truth high watermark always higher+faster than inst For best results, survey crackpots for best, not institutions for avghttps://twitter.com/vgr/status/1346324137409581057 …
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What’s happened is that you’ve decided big failures are what you’re going to judge institutions on. People who think that way end up wanting to burn everything down and then complain when their lives fall apart saying, “well I didn’t mean burn THAT down, that’s obviously good”
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It’s a kind of survivorship bias in reverse.
End of conversation
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100% agree, I just question 1) the cost-benefit, not only bad calls (Iraq, COVID, Epstein) but also secrets — UFOs taboo for 70 years, now NYT says “jk lol” 2) how deep rabbit hole goes. Do societies only work because institutions manipulate populations? (Bernays thought so)
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