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Experts are just regular people with a different job than yours. Just like in your job, they span the gamut from conscientious to apathetic, brilliant to incompetent, and honest to criminal. Treat expert institutions the same way you treat car dealerships. Eyes open, no worship.
A good heuristic is to sort 2 kinds of experts: those who deal in real variables (temperature, altitude, number of people) and those who deal in proxy variables (FAA ratings, classes of chemicals, safety levels). The former are vulnerable to incompetence, the latter to corruption
Learn to suspect people of the appropriate kinds of failure. It’s a start. Blanket suspicion and blanket trust are both equally lazy. You can get even more refined. Engineers and biologists don’t fail the same way for eg. It’s more a detective story than inquisition.
Conspiracy theories have a clear tell: they don’t have targeted suspicions. Instead it’s a red string theory implicating everybody. That indiscriminate pattern of suspicion tells me you don’t understand enough to suspect specific people of specific things.
Hercule Poirot used to scold Hastings for indiscriminately suspecting everybody in turn for no rhyme or reason, but also praise his imagination in doing so. He himself would systematically zoom in on narrower, justified suspicions.
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It’s like when poor people rush to defend billionaires.